Shell’s Sky Scenario

An emissions scenario (called Sky) developed by Shell International examines the challenge of moving to an energy system with net-zero CO2 emissions and gradually eliminate emissions from deforestation by midway through the second half of the century (specifically by the year of 2070). A team at MIT authored a 2018 analysis of temperature scenarios associated with the Sky emissions scenario, finding that the median climate parameters the global surface temperature increase by 2100 is 1.75°C above the pre-industrial levels with an 85% probability of remaining below 2°C.